The Mets have a very mediocre farm system. This is common knowledge around baseball. At best they are middle of the pack. However there are plenty of bright spots around the minors.
Mets 2010 first round draft pick Matt Harvey is 4-0. He has a 0.00 era over his first 22.0 innings! That’s incredible even for High-A St. Lucie. And to top it all off he has 27 strikeouts over this time frame. The one concern I have is the 8 bb’s he’s issued. Harvey’s control has been his biggest question mark since we drafted him last year. However 8 walks in 22 innings is not awful. It’s just a bit concerning since he will ultimately find himself in AA before the end of the season. The talent there is a lot better and he will have to rely on his control much more. Regardless his future looks bright as can be. Baseball America’s own Jim Callis was quoted last week as saying he (Harvey) is the best pitcher he’s seen in the minors thus far this season.
Jenrry Mejia is the other top prospect who may find himself in the rotation come 2013. Most likely he will actually be there by 2012 if all goes well this season in AAA. However long term I like many other people see him in the bullpen as the future closer. Right now that looks like a worst case scenario though. Mejia is being prepared as a starter and rightfully so. He has shown he can pitch deep into games and maintain velocity. The bullpen isn’t that bad of a scenario though. Jonathan Papelbon was once a highly touted SP. He ended up being a very successful closer. Neftali Feliz was also a SP, and still may be one again one day. However right now he’s enjoying tremendous success in the Rangers pen as their closer. The future looks very bright for Mejia right now.
So what will the 2013 rotation look like?
Johan Santana will be in the final year of his contract that season. If he’s healthy you can go ahead and pencil him in the rotation.
Jon Niese will most likely still be a part of the team by then as well. He looks like a sure bet to be a Met for a decent period of time.
Mike Pelfrey is a question mark. Many experts expect the Mets to consider trading Pelfrey as soon as this year. His future with the Mets is in doubt, however right now it’s still a possibility he’s with the team in 2013.
R.A. Dickey has a 2 year contract (2011-2012) and may very well be gone by 2013. I’m crossing him off the list as of now.
Dillon Gee is a darkhorse. He appears to be a legitimate future 4 or 5 in a Major League rotation. He can give you innings on a consistent basis and wouldn’t be a terrible option as the 5th starter in 2013.
Obviously the Mets may also consider signing players in Free Agency or making trades for SP’s. However right now the this is my 2013 rotation –
Mike Pelfrey/Dillon Gee